Author Topic: Whats happening here?  (Read 5215 times)

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Offline rglos

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Whats happening here?
« on: April 25, 2008, 05:02:05 PM »
I still cannot get into the pictures from the April newsletter and passwords.

There has not been much activity here either. Time to step up.

By the way any news on the Two Canard Aviator forums. They ain't up either.

Maybe everyone is at the airport.
Long EZ, 0-235L2C, 1986

Offline admin

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Whats happening here?
« Reply #1 on: April 26, 2008, 10:10:15 PM »
Sorry guys... a recent crisis has not allowed me to get
the pictures loaded yet. I won't bore anyone with the
details but I will get the pictures loaded soon. Thanks
for the patience.

I've noticed traffic is down on ALL aviation sites/lists... the
only thing I can tie it to is the economy and fuel prices. And I've
also noticed prices on plans, project and flying ez's are way
down compared to three or four years ago.

Offline allen

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Whats happening here?
« Reply #2 on: April 27, 2008, 06:56:51 PM »
This afternoon I went for a short hop around the pattern. I wanted to go for an actual ride, but I must admit that fuel costs changed my mind. ($6.02 at Roanoke) No doubt the cartel has had an influence on my flying habits. It seems that every trip I would like to take will cost about $300 or more. Frankly, I just donít have that kind of coin right now and Iím saving my splurging for the air show season.  :?

   Saturday I went down to wash the plane and got to talking with a bunch of guys from the EAA group. The whole group discussion seemed to keep coming back to the cost of fuel. Even the usual lunch run over to Martinsville was canceled because of an air show trip planned for next weekend that the group would like to attend.

   The good news is that Brazil just discovered a new oil field.
Allen
Long-Ez N701DS
1998 O-320 160HP
http://www.freewebs.com/wonderingwingnut

Offline Tom

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« Reply #3 on: April 28, 2008, 07:55:35 AM »
WOW $6.02!!


I thought the price of fuel in Canada was insanse! , but thats just incredible!

Offline allen

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« Reply #4 on: April 28, 2008, 08:28:19 AM »
This field will not allow any competition with Piedmont for fuel sales so we stay a full dollar a gallon more than the area airports. Lynchburg is 15 minutes east and $4.97 last time I checked. Virginia Tech was about the same and 5-10 minutes south.

Our local flight school had worked out a deal for a self serve pump to be built on the field at the fuel companyís expense. The airport refused right before they ran the flight school off. I would love to know what kind of contract Piedmont has worked out with these guys.  :evil:

I will be looking into burning auto gas.
Allen
Long-Ez N701DS
1998 O-320 160HP
http://www.freewebs.com/wonderingwingnut

Offline go ez

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« Reply #5 on: April 28, 2008, 12:38:28 PM »
Just to make you  feel better - AVGAS in the UK is £6.00 an Imp Gallon ie £5.00 a US Gallon or $9.75 a US Gallon.

 :(

Offline allen

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« Reply #6 on: April 28, 2008, 12:41:20 PM »
http://www2.nysun.com/article/75363

Get ready for another economic shock of major proportions ó a virtual doubling of prices at the gas pump to as much as $10 a gallon.

That's the message from a couple of analytical energy industry trackers, both of whom, based on the surging oil prices, see considerably more pain at the pump than most drivers realize.

Gasoline nationally is in an accelerated upswing, having jumped to $3.58 a gallon from $3.50 in just the past week. In some parts of the country, including New York City and the West Coast, gas is already sporting a price tag above $4 a gallon. There was a pray-in at a Chevron station in San Francisco on Friday led by a minister asking God for cheaper gas, and an Arco gas station in San Mateo, Calif., has already raised its price to a sky-high $4.62.

In Manhattan, at a Mobil gas station at York Avenue and East 61st Street, premium gas is now $4.03 a gallon. Two days ago, it was $3.96. Why such a high price? "Blame the people at STOPEC (he meant OPEC) and the oil companies," an attendant there told me.

These increases are taking place before the all-important summer driving season, signaling even higher prices ahead.

That's also the outlook of the Automobile Association of America. "As long as the price of crude oil stays above $100 a barrel, drivers will be forced to pay more and more at the gas pump," a AAA spokesman, Troy Green, said.

Oil recently hit an all-time high of nearly $120 a barrel, more than double its early 2007 price of about $50 a barrel. It closed Friday at $118.52.

The forecasts calling for a jump to between $7 and $10 a gallon are based on the view that the price of crude is on its way to $200 in two to three years.

Translating this price into dollars and cents at the gas pump, one of our forecasters, the chairman of Houston-based Dune Energy, Alan Gaines, sees gas rising to $7-$8 a gallon. The other, a commodities tracker at Weiss Research in Jupiter, Fla., Sean Brodrick, projects a range of $8 to $10 a gallon.

While $7-$10 a gallon would be ground-breaking in America, these prices would not be trendsetting internationally. For example, European drivers are already shelling out $9 a gallon (which includes a $2-a-gallon tax).

Canadians are also being hit with rising gas prices. They are paying the American-dollar equivalent of $4.92 a gallon, and they're being told to brace themselves for prices above $5.65 a gallon this summer.

Early last year, with a barrel of oil trading in the low $50s and gasoline nationally selling in a range of $2.30 to $2.50 a gallon, Mr. Gaines ó in an impressive display of crystal ball gazing ó accurately predicted oil was $100-bound and that gasoline would follow suit by reaching $4 a gallon.

His latest prediction of $200 oil is open to question, since it would undoubtedly create considerable global economic distress. Further, just about every energy expert I talk to cautions me to expect a sizable pullback in oil prices, maybe to between $50 and $70 a barrel, especially if there's a global economic slowdown.

While Mr. Gaines thinks there could be a temporary decline in the oil price, he's convinced an overall uptrend is unstoppable. In fact, he thinks his $200 forecast could be conservative, and that perhaps $250 could be reached. His reasoning: a combination of shrinking supply and increasing demand, especially from China, India, and America.

Mr. Brodrick's $200 oil forecast is largely predicated on a combination of pretty flat supply and rip-roaring demand. Other key catalysts include surging demand in China and India, where auto sales are booming, and major supply disruptions in Nigeria and also in Mexico, our second-largest source of oil imports, where oil production has fallen off a cliff.

More factors include the ever-present danger of additional supply disruptions from volatile countries in the Middle East that are not our allies, and the unwillingness of SUV-loving Americans to trim their unquenchable thirst for foreign oil. Likewise, for the first time, emerging markets this year will use more oil than America.
Allen
Long-Ez N701DS
1998 O-320 160HP
http://www.freewebs.com/wonderingwingnut

Offline pavan

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« Reply #7 on: April 28, 2008, 07:17:24 PM »
Chaps,
Stop whining, we pay $2.15 a liter AVgas. That equates to $8.13 US gallon! Try my best not to fry my valve, as I only fly LOP 8K or above. To use mogas isnít a cheap option either. More so, I have to smuggle the mogas into the field. (Security concerns).
Himalayan
Long-Ez
IO-320 (160)
INDIA

Offline Jack

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« Reply #8 on: April 29, 2008, 05:42:31 PM »
Quote from: allen
http://www2.nysun.com/article/75363

Get ready for another economic shock of major proportions ó a virtual doubling of prices at the gas pump to as much as $10 a gallon.
.


Yup. Price of used aircraft and projects will be tanking in the future like the housing market.

One of the major reasons home building aircraft took off in the 70s was the first fuel crunch in 73 and 79.

No doubt we will end up far more efficient aircraft and motors in the next decade.

Lot more hangar flying too in the future. :D

Jack